Exam ACCA

CREDIT RISK MODELING

Analytics & Modeling
By Peaks2Tails
5 (6254)

~175 Hours | Hindi

Description

Sn
Topics 

Basic Understanding
01
Understanding Loan Lifecycle
02
Scorecards vs Basel vs IFRS9 vs CCAR models
03
Excel hands - on – Data Preparation for Model development



Scorecards
01
Application Scorecard vs Behavioural Scorecard
02
Understanding Bad definition
03
Excel hands-on - Roll Rate Analysis (to incorporate bad flag) on Fannie Mae Mortgage data
04
Understanding concepts of Snapshot, Observation Period & Performance Period
05
Excel hands-on - Seasoning analysis to identify Performance Window
06
Thinking beyond Statistics - Policy rules, Overrides, Reject Inferencing
07
Excel hands - on – Building Application Scorecards using Logistic Regression
08
Python hands - on – Building Application Scorecards using Logistic Regression
09
Excel hands - on – Building Behavioural Scorecards using Logistic Regression
10
Python hands - on - Building Behavioural Scorecards using Logistic Regression




Loss Modelling

01
Excel hands - on - Modelling Losses through Vintage analysis

02
Excel hands - on – Modelling Losses using Flow Rate Approach





Modelling Probability of Default

01
Excel hands-on -Calculating PD using Logistic Regression

02
Calculating PD using Machine Learning Techniques

03
PD segmentation using Decision trees





Modelling Loss given Default

01
Calculating workout LGD (Excel)

02
Tobit & Beta Regression for LGD Modelling (Excel)

03
Fractional Logistic Regression for LGD Modelling (Excel)

04
Incomplete workout approach (Excel)





Modelling Exposure at Default

01
Modelling EAD using CCF (Excel)

02
CCF calculation using Fixed & Variable Horizon, Cohort approach (Excel)

03
CCF Regression (Excel)





Cure Modelling 

01
Instant Cure vs Probationary Cure (Model design)

02
Loss given Cure modelling





Basel Capital Charge

01
RWA & Capital Adequacy Ratio calculations (Excel)

02
Using Vasicek formula to convert TTC PD to Worst Case PD

03
Calculating Capital as per Basel IRB Approach (Excel)





IFRS 9 Introduction

01
TTC PD in Basel vs PIT PD in IFRS

02
12 months PD calculation vs lifetime PD calculation

03
Understanding Concepts of Staging – Stage 1| Stage 2 | Stage 3





IFRS 9 PD Calculation

01
Understanding Conditional PD Vs Unconditional PD

02
Excel hands-on – Converting TTC PD to PIT PD using Z score

03
Excel hands-on – Converting TTC PD to PIT PD using Log Odds shift

04
Excel hands-on – Converting TTC PD to PIT PD using Scalar approach

05
Calibration & Smoothening techniques (Excel)





CECL techniques

01
Discrete Time Hazard Models (Excel)

02
Snapshot/Open Pool Method

03
WARM Model (Excel)

04
Vintage analysis (Excel)





Actuarial Credit Risk Models 

01
Survival analysis (Excel)

02
Lee Carter Model (Excel)

03
Age Period Cohort Analysis (Excel)





APC Extensions

01
Validating APC - Alternating Vintage Diagrams, Moran's D (Excel)

02
Bayesian APC (Excel)

03
Quantifying Adverse Selection by Vintage (Excel)

04
Adverse Selection through Fixed and Random effects (Excel)





IFRS 9 LGD & EAD Calculation

01
PIT forward looking term structure of LGD as a function of Collateral value (Excel)

02
PIT forward looking term structure of LGD using Regression (Excel)

03
Calculating PIT LGD using Jacob Frye model (Excel)

04
CCF Term structure using Regression (Excel)





IFRS 9 Wholesale Models 

01
Understanding Transition Matrices

02
Building Transition Matrix using Cohort Approach (Excel)

03
Building Transition Matrix using Duration Approach (Excel)

04
Converting TTC Transition Matrix to PIT Transition matrix (Excel)

05
Validating Transition Matrices (Excel)

06
Python hands - on - End to end project on Wholesale Portfolio





Low Default Portfolios

01
Bayesian approach to handle LDP (Excel)

02
Pluto Tasche Approach (Excel)

03
Van Der Burgt Method (Excel)

04
QMM Method (Excel)





Stress Testing

01
Top Down vs Bottom Up stress Testing (Excel)

02
ICAAP

03
Understandings CCAR vs DFAST requirements

04
PPNR Modelling

05
Excel hands -on – Modelling ARIMA & ARIMAX

06
Excel hands -on – Building CCAR & PPNR model using multiple regression & time series models

06
Excel hands – on – Perform 9 quarter In Sample & Out of Sample Backtesting

07
Python hands - on - Building Stress Testing Model using Regression and Time Series

08
Backtesting & Benchmarking





Model Validation

01
Evaluating Discriminatory Power Of Model (Excel)

02
Evaluating Accuracy of Model and Calibration (Excel)

03
Performing Stability analysis (Excel)

04
Margin of Conservatism (Excel)

05
Validating Wholesale Models (Excel)

06
Validating Stress Testing Models (Excel)





Pricing Loans

01
Optimizing Yields using Solver (Excel)

02
RAROC based pricing (Excel)





Corporate Credit Models 

01
Merton & KMV Models (Excel)

02
Credit Plus Models (Excel)

03
Credit Portfolio View (Excel)

04
Credit Metrics Model (Excel)





Advanced Econometrics Example

01
Bayesian Regression Models (Excel)

02
Kalman Regression Models (Excel)

03
Generalized Additive Models (Excel)

Other Info

  • Duration : ~175 Hours
  • Language : Hindi
  • ₹ 40000

    International ₹ 40000

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